Trading_For_A_Living_In_The_Forex_Market.pdf

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° ©2004 by Trading Intl. All rights reserved. www.tradingintl.com
Contents
1. Common knowledge about the trading on Forex
1.1. Forex as a part of the global financial market
A brief history about the rise and development of Forex.
The factors that caused Foreign Exchange Volume Growth on Forex (Exchange
Rate Volatility, Business Internationalization, Increasing of Traders’
Sophistication, Developments in Telecommunications, Computer and
Programming Development). The role of the U.S. Federal Reserve System and
central banks of other G-7 countries on Forex.
1.2. Risks by the trading on Forex
1.3. Forex sectors
Spot Market
Forward Market
Futures Market
Currency Options
2. Major currencies and trade systems
2.1. Major currencies
The U.S. Dollar
The Euro
The Japanese Yen
The British Pound
The Swiss Franc
2.2. Trade systems on Forex
Trading with brokers
Direct dealing
3. Fundamental analysis by trading on Forex
3.1 Theories of exchange rate determination
Purchasing Power Parity
Theory of Elasticities
Modern monetary theories on exchange rate volatility
3.2. Indicators for the fundamental analysis
Economic indicators
The Gross National Product
The Gross Domestic Product
Consumption Spending
Investment Spending
Government Spending
Net Trading
°
All training material found in this manual and provided by Trading Intl. L.L.C. are held proprietary to Trading Intl. and Any
duplication or reproduction is strictly prohibited and must be surrendered on demand.
Trading International LLC Direct 801-794-3021 Fax 801-794-2446 Email support@tradingintl.com
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Industrial sector indicators
Industrial Production
Capacity Utilization
Factory Orders
Durable Goods Orders
Business Inventories
Construction Data
Inflation Indicators
Producer Price Index
Consumer Price Index
Gross National Product Implicit Deflator
Gross Domestic Product Implicit Deflator
Commodity Research Bureau’s Futures Index
The Journal of Commerce Industrial Price
Balance of Payments
Merchandise Trade Balance
The U.S. – Japan Merchandise Trade Balance
Employment Indicators
Employment Cost Index
Consumer Spending Indicators
Retail Sales
Consumer Sentiment
Auto Sales
Leading Indicators
Personal Income
3.3. Forex dependence on financial and sociopolitical factors
The Role of Financial Factors
Political Crises Influence
4. Technical analysis
4.1. The destination and fundamentals of technical analysis
Theory of Dow
Percent measures of prices reverse
4.2. Charts for the technical analysis
Kinds of prices and time units
Kinds of charts
Line Chart
Bar Chart
Candlestick Chart
4.3. Trends, Support and Resistance lines
Trend Line and Trade Channel
Lines of Support and Resistance
4.4. Trend Reversal patterns
Head-and-Shoulders
Inverted Head-and-Shoulders
Double Top
Double Bottom
Triple Top
All training material found in this manual and provided by Trading Intl. L.L.C. are held proprietary to Trading Intl. and Any
duplication or reproduction is strictly prohibited and must be surrendered on demand.
Trading International LLC Direct 801-794-3021 Fax 801-794-2446 Email support@tradingintl.com
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Triple Bottom
Round Top, Round Bottom, Saucer, Inverted Saucer
4.5. Trend Continuation patterns
Flags
Pennants
Triangles
Wedges
Rectangles
4.6. Gaps
Common Gaps
Breakaway Gaps
Runaway Gaps
Exhaustion Gaps
4.7. Mathematical trading methods (Technical indicators)
Moving Averages
Envelops
Ballinger Bands
Average True Range
Median Price
Oscillators
Commodity Channel Index
Directional Movement Index
Stochastics
Moving Average Convergence-Divergence (MACD)
Momentum
The Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Rate of Change (ROC)
Larry Williams’s %R
Indicators combination
Ichimoku Indicator
5. Fibonacci constants and Elliott wave theory
5.1. Fibonacci constants
5.2. Elliott wave theory
All training material found in this manual and provided by Trading Intl. L.L.C. are held proprietary to Trading Intl. and Any
duplication or reproduction is strictly prohibited and must be surrendered on demand.
Trading International LLC Direct 801-794-3021 Fax 801-794-2446 Email support@tradingintl.com
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1. Common knowledge about the trading on Forex
1.1. Foreign exchange as a part of the world financial market
Forex – What is it? The international currency market Forex is a special kind of the world
financial market. Trader’s purpose on the Forex to get profit as the result of foreign currencies
purchase and sale. The exchange rates of all currencies being in the market turnover are
permanently changing under the action of the demand and supply alteration. The latter is a strong
subject to the influence of any important for the human society event in the sphere of economy,
politics and nature. Consequently current prices of foreign currencies, evaluated for instance in
US dollars, fluctuate towards its higher and lower meanings.
Using these fluctuations in accordance with a known principle “buy cheaper – sell higher” traders
obtain gains. Forex is different in compare to all other sectors of the world financial system
thanks to his heightened sensibility to a large and continuously changing number of factors,
accessibility to all individual and corporative traders, exclusively high trade turnover which
creates an ensured liquidity of traded currencies and the round – the clock business hours which
enable traders to deal after normal hours or during national holidays in their country finding
markets abroad open. Just as on any other market the trading on Forex, along with an exclusively
high potential profitability, is essentially risk - bearing one. It is possible to gain a success on it
only after a certain training including a familiarization with the structure and kinds of Forex, the
principles of currencies price formation, the factors affecting prices alterations and trading risks
levels, sources of the information necessary to account all those factors, techniques of the analysis
and prediction of the market movements as well as with the trading tools and rules.
An important role in the process of the preparation for trading Forex belongs to the demo-trading
(that is to trade using a demo-account with some virtual money), which allows to testify all the
theoretical knowledge and to obtain a required minimum of the trade experience not being
subjected to a material damage.
A short history about the origin and development of the currency exchange market. Currency
trading has a long history and can be traced back to the ancient Middle East and Middle Ages
when foreign exchange started to take shape after the international merchant bankers devised bills
of exchange, which were transferable third-party payments that allowed flexibility and growth in
foreign exchange dealings.
The modern foreign exchange market characterized by periods of high volatility (that is a
frequency and amplitude of price alteration) and relative stability formed itself in the twentieth
century. By the mid-1930s London became the leading center for foreign exchange and the
British pound served as the currency to trade and to keep as a reserve currency. Because in the
old times foreign exchange was traded on the telex machines, or cable, the pound has generally
the nickname “cable”. After the World War II, where the British economy was destroyed and the
United States was the only country unscarred by war, U.S. dollar, in accordance with the Breton
Woods Accord between the USA, Great Britain and France (1944) became the reserve currency
for all the capitalist countries and all currencies were pegged to the American dollar (through the
constitution of currency ranges maintained by central banks of relevant countries by means of
interventions or currency purchases).
All training material found in this manual and provided by Trading Intl. L.L.C. are held proprietary to Trading Intl. and Any
duplication or reproduction is strictly prohibited and must be surrendered on demand.
Trading International LLC Direct 801-794-3021 Fax 801-794-2446 Email support@tradingintl.com
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