Chinese-History-in-Economic-Perspective.pdf

(3936 KB) Pobierz
http://content.cdlib.org/xtf/view?docId=ft6489p0n6&chunk.id=0&d
Chinese History in Economic Perspective
Page 1 of 203
Preferred Citation: Rawski, Thomas G., and Lillian M. Li, editors Chinese History in Economic Perspective. Berkeley: University of California
Press, c1992 1992. http://ark.cdlib.org/ark:/13030/ft6489p0n6/
Chinese History in Economic Perspective
Edited By
Thomas G. Rawski and Lillian M. Li
UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA PRESS
Berkeley · Los Angeles · Oxford
© 1992 The Regents of the University of California
Preferred Citation: Rawski, Thomas G., and Lillian M. Li, editors Chinese History in Economic Perspective. Berkeley: University of California
Press, c1992 1992. http://ark.cdlib.org/ark:/13030/ft6489p0n6/
WEIGHTS AND MEASURES
dan : a measure of weight equal to 100 jin , with local variation.
jin (or catty): a measure of weight, normally equal to 1.3 pounds, with local variation.
mu : a measure of area equal to 0.1647 acre or 0.0666 hectare, with local variation.
shi : a measure of volume for grain (1 shi of milled rice weighed approximately 175–195 pounds); also used interchangeably with dan as a
measure of weight, with local variation. Gansu granaries recorded stocks in jingshi , a measure of volume seven-tenths as large as the cangshi , the
standard granary measure used elsewhere in China. In Wuxi, shi was used to denote a weight of approximately 150 jin .
tael (or liang ): the Chinese ounce, a measure of weight equal to one-sixteenth of a jin ; also one of numerous units of account for uncoined
silver money employed in China before 1932.
yuan (or dollar): refers to silver coinage issued in China from the late nineteenth century and to fiat money of the Republic of China following
the demonetization of silver in 1935.
SOURCES: Han-sheng Chuan and Richard A. Kraus, Mid-Ch'ing Rice Markets and Trade: An Essay in Price History (Cambridge, 1975), pp. 79–
98; Thomas G. Rawski, Economic Growth in Prewar China (Berkeley and Los Angeles, 1989), p. xv.
xv
PREFACE
This volume is based on papers and discussions from the Workshop and Conference on Economic Methods for Chinese Historical Research sponsored
by the Henry Luce Foundation, the American Council of Learned Societies, and the National Science Foundation and held in Honolulu, Hawaii, in
January 1987 and Oracle, Arizona, in January 1988. In the 1987 workshop, a number of economists who work in economic history were asked to
prepare seminars on broad subjects, such as choice, long-term trends, macroeconomics, international and interregional issues, and economic
institutions, for which the historian-participants had prepared by doing assigned readings. The fact that none of the economists, except Thomas G.
Rawski, were China specialists added an important comparative dimension to the proceedings. The economists were Jon Cohen, University of
Toronto; Peter H. Lindert, University of California, Davis; Donald N. McCloskey, University of Iowa; and Richard Sutch, University of California,
Berkeley. The papers they delivered at this meeting, together with additional material on monetary and labor economics, will be published
separately in a volume entitled Economics and the Historian .
The same group of historians and economists convened at the 1988 conference. This time, however, the historians presented their papers,
which they had written on the basis of guidelines and suggestions from the previous year, and the economists served as the discussants. In addition
to those participants whose papers are included in this volume, I-chun Fan, Bozhong Li, and Guangyuan Zhou also attended the conference. Their
participation and the contributions of the economists are gratefully acknowledged by the editors and authors of this volume.
We would also like to express our gratitude to Julius Rubin, who helped us start the whole project, to two anonymous referees for their
insightful
http://content.cdlib.org/xtf/view?docId=ft6489p0n6&chunk.id=0&doc.view=print
11/07/2007
260318469.003.png 260318469.004.png
Chinese History in Economic Perspective
Page 2 of 203
xvi
reviews of the entire manuscript, to David Arkush, Philip Kuhn, Susan Naquin, Evelyn S. Rawski, and William T. Rowe for their assistance in revising
the introductory essay, to Shu-jen Yeh for helping to prepare the glossary and the bibliography, and to Eleanor Bennett, Sarah S. Fought, William
Karunaratne, Debbie Kwolek, Patty Huchber, Sharon Wetzel, and Debra Ziolkowski for their invaluable efforts behind the scenes.
xvii
CONTRIBUTORS
Lynda S. Bell is Assistant Professor of History, University of California, Riverside.
Loren Brandt is Associate Professor of Economics, University of Toronto.
Cameron Campbell is with the Graduate Group in Demography, University of Pennsylvania.
Emily Honig is Associate Professor of History, Yale University.
James Lee is Associate Professor of History, California Institute of Technology.
Lillian M. Li is Professor of History, Swarthmore College.
Susan Mann is Professor of History, University of California, Davis.
Peter C. Perdue is Associate Professor of History, Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
Kenneth Pomeranz is Assistant Professor of History, University of California, Irvine.
Thomas G. Rawski is Professor of Economics and History, University of Pittsburgh.
Barbara Sands is Associate Professor of Economics, University of Arizona.
Guofu Tan is Assistant Professor of Economics, University of British Columbia.
Yeh-chien Wang is Professor of History, Kent State University.
R. Bin Wong is Associate Professor of History, University of California, Irvine.
1
INTRODUCTION:
CHINESE HISTORY IN ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVE
Thomas G. Rawski and Lillian M. Li
Economics and economists tend to bring out strong emotions both in the general public and among (noneconomist) scholars. How often does one
encounter the sentiment, "If economists are so smart, how come they couldn't predict such-and-such [the latest round of inflation, the October '87
stock market crash, etc.]?" Economics has always been a controversial field of study, and economists often exhibit a strong professional affinity for
contentiousness among themselves. Yet, while society might conceivably get along without economists, it would be difficult to imagine a world in
which economics did not play a role, even the mythical world of Robinson Crusoe. Nor can historians avoid the economic aspects of history even
when they would like to do so. Embedded in all their common notions of how history has developed are views, conscious or unconscious, of
economic forces: the prosperity of the Italian city-states prompted the cultural efflorescence of the Renaissance, the Chinese had a rural revolution
because the peasants were so poor, Europeans conducted oceanic explorations because they needed spices, and so forth. But fundamentally,
historians need to know about the material side of history because they are concerned with human welfare, social development, and national
histories. The classic definition of economics, after all, is that it studies the allocation of scarce resources among alternative uses. Therefore,
subjects such as agriculture, money, industry, and trade compel historians' interest for a variety of commendable reasons.
It is our contention, however, that the study of such subjects in economic history has not always employed a true economic approach or
perspective, at least among historians of China. This book is dedicated to the idea that the history of China's economy has been written many times
in many ways but that the economic history of China has not yet been written. This, indeed, is not such a history either, but the essays in this
volume are intended to illus-
2
trate how economic history is not the same as the history of an economy, and how an economic perspective involves more than an interest in some
economic topic. Scholarship on China has excelled in studying the economy of China, but has barely begun to do so with a true economic
perspective. The fundamental objective of this volume is to delineate and illustrate the potential contribution of systematically applying an economic
approach to the study of China's economic history.
State of the Field
http://content.cdlib.org/xtf/view?docId=ft6489p0n6&chunk.id=0&doc.view=print
11/07/2007
260318469.005.png
Chinese History in Economic Perspective
Page 3 of 203
Traditional Chinese scholarship did not neglect economic topics. Indeed, in the standard dynastic histories, sections on population, land taxes, and
money, for example, assumed a prominent position. Local histories also treated these topics, as well as listing or describing local products, grain
storage, and the like. A well-functioning economy was the hallmark of a successful dynastic regime, a visible sign of the harmony of heaven, earth,
and man. Economics and morality were linked; a prosperous economy was a sign of the essential morality of the ruler. The model of the economy,
like that of society, was based on the notions of harmony and stability, and not on the desirability of growth and change. The golden age of the past
was one in which men plowed the fields and women wove cloth. Wars and famines signified the disruption of stability. The goal was to restore the
status quo ante, the golden age, not to surpass it, because it could not be surpassed.
In recent decades, a different paradigm, that of Chinese Marxism, has dominated Chinese scholarship. The three broad areas that receive the
most attention from historians in the People's Republic of China are land tenure, foreign imperialism, and the "sprouts of capitalism." In the post-
Mao era, the "Asiatic mode of production" was added to this list. Studies of land tenure are closely linked to issues of servitude and subordination
among China's peasantry in each period of history. Studies of foreign imperialism stress the plundering of China's economic resources by Western
powers and Japan in the nineteenth and twentieth centuries, and the obstacles to the development of a modern economy posed by the unequal
treaties. Studies of the "sprouts of capitalism" focus on the signs of development in China's late imperial, or early modern, economy (roughly since
the mid-sixteenth century), such as the expansion of handicraft production and the freeing of labor in the countryside, but the line of interpretation
has shifted from time to time—sometimes emphasizing the sprouts themselves and, at other times, the smothering of the sprouts. The revival of
interest in Marx's idea of the Asiatic mode of production highlighted the dilemma of Chinese Marxist historians: how to fit Chinese history into the
scheme of world history. Previously discredited by party historians because it tended to suggest that Chinese development did not fit into a unilinear
world pattern, the Asiatic mode attracted renewed attention in the 1980s in part because it helped
3
legitimize China's recent economic policies, which may seem to transgress the stages of history normally posited in the Marxist scheme of history.
How one evaluates the Marxist scholarship on China is to a certain extent a function of one's ideological persuasion. Certainly the Marxist
framework provides a compelling agenda for research. Critics think, and sometimes dare to say, that the agenda is limited and that the questions
posed to some extent determine the outcome. But this criticism could be leveled at any paradigm or framework. What is striking to us, however, is
the extent to which a materialist or economic interpretation of history has essentially transformed itself into social history. It is the struggle between
social forces and the conflict of social classes that seem to determine the economic stage of history rather than the economic forces that determine
the social. Marxist historiography has stood Marxism on its head.
Substituting modernization theory for Confucian or Marxist theory, the postwar generation of Western historians has also sought reasons for
China's economic backwardness in modern times. American scholarship in the 1950s and 1960s tended to focus on treaty-port developments and
the introduction of Western trade and technology into China, implying that contact with the West, even on unfavorable terms, offered an
opportunity for positive change that was missed. [1] A second wave of scholarship has focused on the role of entrepreneurship and bureaucratic
leadership (or the lack of it) in the nineteenth and twentieth centuries, finding in them a major reason for China's "failure to modernize" along
Western lines, even when exposed to Western influence. [2] In a similar vein, scholarship in Taiwan has emphasized the institutional and
bureaucratic aspects of China's economic development in the last two centuries.
In an innovative and influential interpretive history, Mark Elvin tried to break away from the yoke of Western periodization schemes to show
that China's history followed a different "pattern," in which a medieval economic revolution led to a "high-level equilibrium trap" that did not prevent
further growth, but did impede significant change—"economic development without technological change." [3] Yet like other Western scholars, and
indeed like the Chinese scholars, his underlying preoccupation is with explaining China's poor economic performance in modern times.
Like Elvin, recent Western scholarship has tended to search back beyond
[1] E.g., Chi-ming Hou, Foreign Investment and Economic Development in China, 1840–1937 (Cambridge, Mass., 1965).
[2] E.g., Albert Feuerwerker, China's Early Industrialization: Sheng Hsuan-huai (1862–1874) and Mandarin Enterprise (Cambridge, Mass., 1958);
Yen-p'ing Hao, The Comprador in Nineteenth-Century China: Bridge between East and West (Cambridge, Mass., 1970); Wellington K. K. Chan,
Merchants, Mandarins, and Modern Enterprise in Late Ch'ing China (Cambridge, Mass., 1977); and Sherman Cochran, Big Business in China: Sino-
Foreign Rivalry in the Cigarette Industry, 1890–1930 (Cambridge, Mass., 1980).
[3] Mark Elvin, The Pattern of the Chinese Past (Stanford, 1973), Part Three, pp. 203–319.
4
the troubled modern period to find strengths and weaknesses in the Chinese economy before the nineteenth century that might help to explain its
behavior after the Opium War. These studies have focused on the role of the traditional Chinese state in shaping the economy, particularly in the
eighteenth century. Building on Ping-ti Ho's work on China's population, [4] these studies have, on the one hand, emphasized the positive role of the
state in encouraging the settlement of undeveloped and frontier areas [5] and in maintaining granary stocks to stabilize prices and prevent famines [6]
while, on the other hand, stressing the essential limitations of state power. Yeh-chien Wang's work on Qing land tax, Madeleine Zelin's work on tax
surcharges, and Susan Mann's work on the merchants' role in collecting commercial taxes all tend to show how the Qing and Republican
governments were unable, and sometimes unwilling, to capture a larger share of the country's wealth for their own purposes. [7]
Some American scholarship, as well as some Japanese scholarship, has shared the Chinese interest in the primacy of social forces in
governing economic history. For example, standing on different sides of an ideological divide, Ramon H. Myers and Philip C. C. Huang have
disagreed sharply on the extent to which the land tenure system in North China produced social inequalities. [8] The work of William T. Rowe and
others on the growth of Chinese cities tends to emphasize the strength of commercial developments that took place largely outside the sphere of
direct government influence. [9] And G. William Skinner's influential work on marketing and his macro-regions paradigm both stress the essential
independence of economic activity from political trends as embodied in the dynastic cycle. [10]
Although there are notable exceptions not captured in this broad summary, it is striking how American scholarship on Chinese economic
history,
[4] Ho, Studies on the Population of China, 1368–1953 (Cambridge, Mass., 1959).
[5] E.g., Peter C. Perdue, Exhausting the Earth: State and Peasant in Hunan, 1500–1850 (Cambridge, Mass., 1987).
[6] Pierre-Etienne Will, Bureaucratie et famine en Chine au 18e siècle (Paris, 1980), and Pierre-Etienne Will and R. Bin Wong, Nourish the People:
The State Civilian Granary System in China, 1650–1850 (Ann Arbor, Mich., 1991).
[7] Yeh-chien Wang, Land Taxation in Imperial China, 1750–1911 (Cambridge, Mass., 1973); Madeleine Zelin, The Magistrate's Tael: Rationalizing
Fiscal Reform in Eighteenth-Century Ch'ing China (Berkeley and Los Angeles, 1984); and Susan Mann, Local Merchants and the Chinese
Bureaucracy, 1750–1850 (Stanford, 1987).
[8] Ramon H. Myers, The Chinese Peasant Economy: Agricultural Development in Hopei and Shantung, 1890–1949 (Cambridge, Mass., 1970) and
http://content.cdlib.org/xtf/view?docId=ft6489p0n6&chunk.id=0&doc.view=print
11/07/2007
260318469.006.png
Chinese History in Economic Perspective
Page 4 of 203
Philip C. C. Huang, The Peasant Economy and Social Change in North China (Stanford, 1985).
[9] William T. Rowe, Hankow: Commerce and Society in a Chinese City, 1796–1889 (Stanford, 1984).
[10] See especially "Introduction: Urban Development in Imperial China" and "Regional Urbanization in Nineteenth-Century China," both in G.
William Skinner, ed., The City in Late Imperial China (Stanford, 1977).
5
somewhat like PRC scholarship, has really revolved around social and institutional history. In fact, the bulk of the work concerning the Chinese
economy has been done, not by those trained in economics, but rather by social historians, anthropologists, and others. Most of these scholars—
including some of the contributors to this volume—have not in the past made regular and systematic use of economic analysis to inform and
structure their inquiries. In part this may be due to ideological or disciplinary predisposition, and in part it may reflect the types of sources available
for the study of economic history. Traditional official records are strong on bureaucratic institutions and practices but weak in quantitative material.
Even so, the tendency for researchers to neglect economic approaches in writing the history of China's economy may reflect their limited
appreciation of how the economic perspective can sharpen an analysis of the historical record.
In the 1960s similar criticisms were raised by a group of "new economic historians" against the work of the earlier generation of economic
historians in the West. Feeling that the traditional economic histories of Europe and the United States overemphasized the description of legal and
other institutions, the new generation advocated the application of economic theory and quantitative methods to historical scholarship. With the
advent of Robert Fogel and Stanley Engerman's study of slavery in the American South, and the ensuing controversies, the Cliometric revolution
reached its heyday and, some have said, began to peak. [11] Nonetheless, a more quantitative and analytic approach continues to prevail in the
leading journals of economic history.
Our goal is not to champion the introduction of Cliometrics into Chinese economic history but rather to advocate adopting a more self-
conscious economic perspective that may or may not involve quantitative analysis. Our belief is that the use of economic theory can illuminate
issues that might otherwise prove inaccessible. In addition, the contributors to this volume have reached the surprising conclusion that applying
economic analysis to historical topics often enlarges the interpretive significance of phenomena that historians, and not economists, are best
qualified to comprehend.
Economic Theory
What do we mean by an economic perspective ? We mean the application of economic theory and methods to the study of historical topics.
Classical economic theory, as developed in the West, rests on a number of key concepts, which some call principles and others may call
assumptions. The most fundamental of these is the concept of choice . Donald N. McCloskey
[11] Robert Fogel and Stanley Engerman, Time on the Cross: The Economics of American Negro Slavery (Boston, 1974). The development of the
new economic history is discussed in Alexander J. Field, ed., The Future of Economic History (Boston, 1987), in the editor's introductory essay.
6
defines economics as "the study of human choice under constraints." [12] Income and wealth, the conventional measures of economic well-being,
define the extent of choice available to consumers. In most economies, choice is exercised primarily in markets, which offer opportunities to sell
commodities and human skills in return for income, which can be translated, again through the marketplace, into consumption goods. Prices signal
the rates at which any individual's resources of money, time, and skill can be converted into desired commodities or services. For the economist,
prices demand attention because they offer precise measures of both choice and constraint that (important for the historian) are often recorded in
great detail. Markets and prices thus emerge from the centrality of choice as natural focal points for historical inquiry.
Rationality is a closely related concept. Rationality means that people are motivated by self-interest, primarily pecuniary. Economic rationality
means that individuals, families, and organizations have well-defined ideas about how various opportunities affect their well-being and that choice
rests upon comparison of the cost of available alternatives. Economic rationality suggests that people know how to calculate costs and benefits and
that they are free to act according to their choices.
The centrality of choice in economics leads to the concept of opportunity cost , which defines the cost of a specific action in terms of the value
of alternative options rather than actual monetary outlay. Or, in McCloskey's words, "choosing one thing means giving up another, because things
are scarce, constrained." [13] In the economists' view, the cost of education, for example, includes the value of income-earning opportunities
forsaken by the student as well as the actual tuition she or he pays. The opportunity cost of moving to a new location must comprehend the value
of wages lost while on the road as well as transportation costs. Opportunity cost is quite literally the value of "the road not taken."
Much of economic analysis revolves around the concept of equilibrium , which portrays economic circumstance as the outcome of a balance of
conflicting forces. Market price is determined through bidding, a process of organized struggle between buyers, who seek to force the price to the
lowest possible level, and sellers, whose interest is served by attaining the highest possible price. Market forces ceaselessly push price and quantity
in the direction of equilibrium. If demand exceeds supply at the current price, anxious buyers will bid up the price, simultaneously curbing demand
and attracting additional supplies. If price is so high that supply exceeds demand, sellers' prices will be bid down, leading toward the balance
between desired purchases and sales that characterizes an equilibrium position.
[12] McCloskey, "The Economics of Choice" (Unpublished paper prepared for the Workshop on Economic Methods for Chinese Historical Research,
Honolulu, January 1987), p. 1.
[13] Ibid., 1.
7
Together with the idea of entry and exit , which simply maintains that productive resources, including human labor, will abandon occupations
offering low rewards and gravitate toward the areas of greatest opportunity, the economists' equilibrium notion offers a valuable tool for historical
researchers. Even though the interaction of supply and demand in particular markets may not leave clear tracks in the historical record, the
qualitative consequences of changes in equilibrium positions often generate shifts in the direction of resource flows that will not escape the
historian's notice. As D. K. Lieu has observed, businessmen in China (and elsewhere) "are ready to clear out at any time" if they see better
prospects in another trade. The appearance of new businesses and the abandonment of old trades thus become a sensitive barometer of relative
profitability in different lines of endeavor. [14] Similarly, if large numbers of workers migrate from North China to Manchuria, or from the rust belt to
http://content.cdlib.org/xtf/view?docId=ft6489p0n6&chunk.id=0&doc.view=print
11/07/2007
260318469.001.png
Chinese History in Economic Perspective
Page 5 of 203
California, no statistical analysis is required to verify the existence of regional differences in economic opportunity.
Objections to Economic Theory
When thus presented as a series of abstract concepts, economic theory often provokes the deepest skepticism, if not outright hostility, among
noneconomists.
Some have charged that these ideas of neoclassical Western economics are not universal principles or absolute truths but are, instead, a
series of assumptions that are largely a matter of perspective or even faith, not susceptible to proof or argument. Moreover, these ideas are
culturally and historically specific, a product of a particular phase of Western history, and are not universally applicable. Some, like Karl Polanyi,
have argued that these ideas themselves have shaped people's behavior and the development of economic institutions, especially markets, that
they have been, in short, not descriptive but prescriptive. [15]
Others object to economic theory because they believe it to rest on a view of human nature that is self-fulfilling, possibly erroneous, and
certainly repugnant. "Rational economic man as a reflection of human nature is a fiction. . . . But it is a powerful fiction, and it becomes less and
less a fiction as more and more of our institutions get pervaded by its assumptions and other paths are closed," writes one recent critic. [16] Adam
Smith's notion that individuals pursuing their own self-interest are "led by an invisible hand" toward improving the society and economy in which
they live is difficult to reconcile with more flattering views of human nature and human good.
[14] Lieu, The Growth and Industrialization of Shanghai (Shanghai, 1936), p. 103.
[15] Karl Polanyi, The Great Transformation (Boston, 1957).
[16] Barry Schwartz, The Battle for Human Nature: Science, Morality and Modern Life (New York, 1986), p. 325.
8
There are those who believe that the classical economists' view of human nature is not only incorrect but that it can be replaced by a superior form
of morality. Amitai Etzioni, for example, argues for the replacement of utilitarianism with ethical principles that stress intention, not result, for the
replacement of individual calculation with collective rationality, and for the replacement of economic rationality with values and emotions. [17]
Most others who object to economic theory do so on the grounds that it is empirically invalid. They say that simple observation will reveal
that not everyone is motivated by monetary self-interest above all other considerations and that the notion of economic rationality must therefore
be false. The economists reply that economic rationality need not imply ceaseless calculation of cost and benefit by households and businesses, nor
must economic decisions rest exclusively on financial considerations. Although economists often construct theories on the assumption that
individuals and business firms pursue maximum financial rewards, the notion of rationality encompasses the possibility that a desire for prestige or
perhaps stability, as well as monetary gain, may motivate economic behavior. The recent debate about the "moral economy of the peasant"
highlights this controversy, with James C. Scott arguing that in peasant societies the dominant motive is survival and security, so that risk
minimization, not profit maximization, is the principal goal. [18] Economists respond that peasant rationality is essentially no different from anyone
else's rationality and that avoidance of risk is not inconsistent with rational calculation.
Critics also protest that rational choice implies perfect information and intelligence. But what if someone does not have all the information
needed, or what if he or she is stupid or, worse still, lazy? I could increase my financial resources if I thought about my investments all the time,
but I do not choose to use my time that way. The opportunity cost, measured in work or recreational time lost, is simply too high. But economists
reply that decisions based on limited information and crude calculations may in fact reflect rational behavior. After all, the time and expense
required to collect further information or to conduct detailed studies of opportunity costs may outweigh the anticipated benefits of prolonged search
and analysis.
Finally, skeptics reject the idea that people actually have a choice in economic matters and are free to enter into or exit from economic
activities as some kind of economists' wonderland, full of Mad Hatters. Surely, in real life people are not always free to change jobs, change
residences, or change investments according to the dictates of rational calculation. [19] Custom, law,
[17] Amitai Etzioni, The Moral Dimension: Toward a New Economics (New York, 1988).
[18] James C. Scott, The Moral Economy of the Peasant: Rebellion and Subsistence in Southeast Asia (New Haven, 1976).
[19] The Nobel Prize—winning economist George J. Stigler tells the story of an economist who carefully decided how far from the city to locate his
country home by efficiently balancing the number of fresh eggs he could get against the number of friends who would still be willing to visit him. In
his review of Stigler's memoirs, Robert Krulwich dryly comments, "Here, I say, is why more and more people ignore economists." New York Times
Book Review , Oct. 23, 1988.
9
social practice and prejudice, inertia, and any number of restrictions on behavior exist today and were even more decisive in premodern times.
Economists, however, recognize that market activity and price formation do not occur in a social or cultural vacuum. They see the institutional
arrangements that circumscribe and encapsulate economic activity—the household, legal structures, customary market procedures, forms of
contract arrangement, business organization, even ideology and morality—as constraining economic activity along with limitations on the stock of
physical and financial resources. [20] But economists regard institutions as flexible rather than immutable. If costs exceed benefits, economists
anticipate change (perhaps gradual) in the relations between individuals and social institutions, as well as between buyers and sellers. The post—
World War II increase in female employment in the United States represents such an event, with the unorganized response of millions of women to
altered labor market conditions leading to changes in marriage practices, family size, child rearing, educational patterns, eating habits, and many
other aspects of life long regarded as determined by custom and tradition rather than the marketplace.
The clash between economists and noneconomists is perhaps best embodied in the economists' favorite term, ceteris paribus (literally, all
other things being equal). While economists will acknowledge the importance of noneconomic factors, those bothersome factors are generally left in
the background of their theories and models. Let others study politics, law, social class, injustice, and the like. Models can be pure and "elegant," a
favorite expression of economists, because all those other factors can be held constant or set aside. And since such factors are not easily
quantifiable, how much more convenient to leave them out. Quantification of the nonquantitative is best left to the "soft" social scientists—the
sociologists, the political scientists, and the historians. [21]
It is ceteris paribus that allows economists to be optimists. Although economics is called the dismal science, in fact economists tend to
maintain a rosy view of the world controlled by an invisible hand. If only the government and others would stay out of it, the rational response to
opportunity could produce growth and a better life for everyone. In the field of Chinese studies, the
http://content.cdlib.org/xtf/view?docId=ft6489p0n6&chunk.id=0&doc.view=print
11/07/2007
260318469.002.png
Zgłoś jeśli naruszono regulamin